# Update 2 : Cyclone Arnab Andhra Pradesh Coast Faces Possible October 28 Landfall

- Link: https://www.weather.lk/update-2-cyclone-arnab-andhra-pradesh-coast-faces-possible-october-28-landfall/
- Published: 2026-10-25T19:17:18+05:30
- Author: Weather LK

# Deep Depression Over Bay of Bengal Likely to Intensify Into Severe Cyclonic Storm, Andhra Coast on Alert

A deep depression over the east-central and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal is
forecast to intensify into a **severe cyclonic storm**, with the Andhra Pradesh 
coast facing a possible landfall around October 28, 2026, according to the latest
cyclone bulletin.

The system was located at 15.1°N latitude and 91.0°E longitude at 0600 UTC on October
25, about 420 kilometres north-northwest of Port Blair in the Andaman and Nicobar
Islands. It had moved southwestwards at around 5 km/h during the previous six hours
before strengthening into a deep depression.

The system is expected to continue moving over the Bay of Bengal while gradually
gaining strength. Forecasters indicate that it could develop into a cyclonic storm
by early October 26 and intensify into a severe cyclonic storm by early October 
27.

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### Andhra Pradesh Coast Faces Potential Cyclone Landfall

The latest forecast suggests that the system will turn northwestwards after its 
initial southwestward movement and approach the west-central Bay of Bengal. It is
then expected to move towards the Andhra Pradesh coast, with the possibility of 
crossing the coast between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam around 0600 UTC on October 
28.

At landfall, maximum sustained wind speeds could reach **115–125 km/h, with gusts
up to 140 km/h**, according to the forecast. The system may remain a very severe
cyclonic storm before crossing the coast, although its track and intensity could
change as it develops.

The forecast bulletin also indicates that the cyclone could weaken after landfall.
By October 29, it is expected to downgrade to a depression before weakening further
into a well-marked low-pressure area by October 30.

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### Heavy Rain, Strong Winds and Coastal Flooding Risk

The approaching cyclone could bring dangerous weather conditions to coastal districts
of Andhra Pradesh. The bulletin warns that storm surges of around **1.0–1.5 metres
above astronomical tide** may inundate low-lying areas of the Kakinada and Yanam
districts during landfall.

Strong winds, heavy rain and rough seas are additional concerns as the system approaches
the coast. Coastal communities, fishermen and people living in low-lying areas should
follow official warnings and preparedness instructions issued by local authorities.

### Forecast Confidence and Further Development

The bulletin assesses confidence in the system’s current location and intensity 
as high, while confidence in its future track and intensity remains moderate to 
high. Meteorological models indicate that the system could continue strengthening
over the Bay of Bengal, supported by atmospheric conditions favourable for cyclone
development.

However, the exact landfall location, timing and intensity may change with subsequent
updates. Residents across coastal Andhra Pradesh and adjoining areas should monitor
the latest advisories from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

Authorities and residents are advised to rely on official updates as the system 
moves closer to the Indian coastline over the coming days.